Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.232961 0.269174 0.308973 0.355934 0.409812 0.469672 0.541209
2024-10-13 0.173595 0.219848 0.275290 0.346554 0.435642 0.543263 0.683094
2024-10-20 0.137298 0.189114 0.256346 0.349755 0.475963 0.640364 0.870613
2024-10-27 0.105814 0.157661 0.230092 0.338269 0.495328 0.714629 1.043678
2024-11-03 0.088502 0.141794 0.221491 0.348693 0.545928 0.839312 1.307957
2024-11-10 0.075477 0.129387 0.215274 0.361057 0.601251 0.979937 1.620587
2024-11-17 0.062675 0.114532 0.202220 0.359922 0.634953 1.092754 1.909764
2024-11-24 0.052368 0.101637 0.189754 0.357061 0.664766 1.203532 2.214015
2024-12-01 0.044407 0.091227 0.179500 0.355867 0.696783 1.322566 2.551853
2024-12-08 0.038277 0.082977 0.171560 0.357244 0.733340 1.454912 2.935021
2024-12-15 0.033959 0.077447 0.167764 0.365811 0.784893 1.622848 3.412424
2024-12-22 0.029397 0.070418 0.159558 0.363709 0.814280 1.751623 3.832292
2024-12-29 0.026315 0.066145 0.156619 0.372811 0.869928 1.944720 4.421589
2025-01-05 0.022648 0.059716 0.147696 0.366938 0.891876 2.070657 4.889034
2025-01-12 0.020271 0.055937 0.144191 0.373046 0.942357 2.267324 5.546992
2025-01-19 0.017354 0.050114 0.134622 0.362617 0.951752 2.372328 6.011421
2025-01-26 0.015953 0.048057 0.134132 0.375034 1.019768 2.626076 6.873093
2025-02-02 0.014776 0.046367 0.134284 0.389195 1.094854 2.908988 7.852995
2025-02-09 0.013164 0.043040 0.129342 0.388578 1.130797 3.099484 8.628767
2025-02-16 0.011696 0.039807 0.124029 0.385902 1.160691 3.279175 9.405821
2025-02-23 0.010470 0.037055 0.119576 0.384890 1.195194 3.476768 10.263914
2025-03-02 0.009470 0.034811 0.116218 0.386565 1.237952 3.703991 11.241892
2025-03-09 0.008776 0.033453 0.115369 0.395946 1.305749 4.012858 12.503955